Learning Linear Systems under Heavy-Tailed Noise: A Non-Asymptotic Analysis from A Single Trajectory

Excerpt

arXiv:2610.00637v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We establish non-asymptotic sample complexity bounds for the least-squares estimation of vector autoregressive models for exponentially stable systems with heavy-tailed noise based on a single observed trajectory. By assuming i.i.d. noise, bounded noise covariance, and persistent excitation, we show that the estimation error is $\widetilde{\mathcal{O}}(r^{1/2}T^{-1/2+1/p})$ under bounded $p$th moment for $p > 2$, where $T$ is the number of samples,