An Information-Theoretic Evaluation Framework for Benchmark and Model Diagnosis in Knowledge Tracing

Excerpt

arXiv:2610.06988v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Knowledge tracing (KT) models are predominantly evaluated using aggregate metrics such as area under the curve (AUC) and accuracy. However, these global scores obscure where the remaining errors originate and fail to indicate whether a benchmark is approaching saturation. While estimating a global theoretical performance limit is challenging in realistic KT settings, it is possible to quantify local predictability. To address this, we propose an in