Forecasting the Growth of Social Media Information Cascades: Towards Human-in-the-Loop Misinformation Triage

Excerpt

arXiv:2610.07209v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Limited review teams must identify which emerging claims are likely to keep growing before their eventual reach is known. We center early misinformation triage on this continuation-forecasting problem: predicting subsequent recorded propagation-tree growth from the first 30 minutes of activity. On FibVID, we compare early node count with structural depth entropy, temporal arrival entropy, and their pair while keeping all propagation trees from ea